Showing posts with label Paul Ryan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Paul Ryan. Show all posts

Friday, March 7, 2014

Zeno's Paradoxes and the Republican Problem of Principle

Brian Palmer over at Slate wrote an article this week explaining how Zeno's Paradox of Achilles and the Tortoise works. It got me thinking of how people usually react to the story when they first hear it--I've taught this paradox to college students in Montreal almost every semester since 2006 as a brief introduction to the Eleatic school of philosophy. I'll let Palmer summarize the story:
My students (most of them are not philosophy majors) generally react with a quizzical, unreflective, "That's stupid!" And it is stupid; that's Zeno's point, which is what I try to teach them. The paradox presents a fundamental contradiction between the mathematical principle at play (the infinite divisibility of a line) and reality (we all know that Homer's "swift runner" will win). But that is not all--Zeno's paradoxes are not just brain teasers. Rather, Zeno is trying to demonstrate that, when there is a contradiction between principle and reality, there is something wrong. It is not necessarily the case that the principle is wrong (a geometric line is, indeed, infinitely divisible), but, at the very least, it must be recognized that the principle does not apply in this particular case (actual distances are contiguous, not continuous, like geometric lines). Now, Zeno's specific point was the irrationality of all motion and change, as Palmer notes; more broadly speaking he is suggesting that the principles of mathematics do not apply to motion, and since mathematics are the foundation of rationality, motion and change are irrational. This principle does not apply here.

The current crop of Republican presidential front-runners all present themselves as men of principle, whether the issue is gay marriage, gun control, entitlements, what-have-you. But it is becoming clear that they don't understand the point Zeno made more than two millennia ago. Take the idea of cutting government assistance to the poor spelled out in the Ryan budget. The principle is that government assistance disincentivizes looking for work. The principle makes sense in the abstract--if you receive money without working, why would you bother to work. However, studies show that that is simply not how assistance plays out in reality. The so-called welfare trap is virtually non-existent.

There is nothing wrong with being a "man of principle". Indeed, principles are necessary to guide human action in an unpredictable world (some theories suggest human consciousness evolved precisely because we cannot predict every possible outcome of our behavior in an environment we do not control). Nevertheless, it is important to understand how principles arise. Principles of the sort at play in politics, economics, psychology and the like (as opposed to a priori principles, which play a role in purely theoretical disciplines) are derived from experience (through induction and statistical reasoning). What this means is that you cannot be a "man of principle" while ignoring experience--the experience of people on food stamps, or unemployment insurance, for example. And I don't mean experience in the sense of anecdote (though it never hurts to walk a mile in the shoes of another to understand his or her world). An economist or politician who ignores case studies, statistics, evidence provided by sociologists and bean counters, is not a "man of principle"--indeed, he can have no principle.


Sunday, January 27, 2013

Paul Ryan is a "chart guy"--but not necessarily a smart guy.

I keep hearing this vacuous sound-bite from the right (though it could just as easily come from the left): "We don't have a revenue problem; we have a spending problem."  The phrase is intended to dismiss calls for higher taxes, since we can get by with what we have--we just need to spend less.  This may very well be true, but it must be proven (or, at least, discussed rationally).  Simply asserting it, as Paul Ryan did again today, does not make it true.
It is always dangerous to compare household budgets to federal budgets, but the point I am making is so simple that there is little risk here.  If I do not have enough to pay my bills at the end of the month, I should not necessarily conclude that I need to work a second job.  If it turns out the expenses I cannot cover are gratuitous, I may decide to cut back on those presumed luxuries (here I have a spending problem).  If I cannot afford food, however, the problem requires a different solution (here I have a revenue problem).  You should see, at this point, the problem--without discussing the precise spending I am doing, no chart will allow me to draw any other conclusion than that there is a discrepancy between my income and my spending.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

How do you measure a politician's intelligence?

Not, one would hope, by whether or no he or she can count.  As I've recently posted, certain politicos are arguing that Paul Ryan should replace John Boehner as Speaker of the House.  I agree with both Redstate.com and Rachel Maddow that Boehner is bad at his job.  Boehner is far too weak a leader to be effective as Speaker (say what you want about Pelosi's positions, she was certainly not weak).  However, Paul Ryan would not be a suitable Speaker in the least.  He is certainly not weak--the man simply cannot count.
(Full article)
I continue to reject the notion of a 'mandate', but it remains the case that Romney/Ryan got walloped no matter how you look at it.
(NB, Romney and Ryan lost the EC by 333-206, not 232-206).

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Boehner vs. Ryan for Speaker

Both RedState.com and Twitchy.com are pushing the "replace Boehner with Ryan as Speaker of the House" narrative today.  The Red State article is absolutely brilliant.
I'm not a huge fan of Boehner, but that is beside the point.  Notice that his offenses include compromise and recognizing the Supreme Court's decision on the Affordable Care Act.  But the suggestion that Ryan would make a good replacement is laughable.  Here's a list of his qualifications: